There’s a line that gets dragged into far too many planning meetings like it’s beyond question:
“We have to run the annual promo. It makes a huge difference.” Sometimes that’s true.
Sometimes it’s just a story the business has been telling itself for so long that nobody wants to test it. And that is how repeated discounts and EOFY promotions start training customers to wait for the deal.
We saw this with a client who had run an EOFY promo for years. Inside the business, the belief was simple: if they didn’t run it, customers would go straight to a competitor. Sales believed it. The promo had history. It had become one of those things that felt too risky to question.
Then a new brand manager came in during a tighter year, looked at the numbers properly, and made the call not to run it.
Sales held up. No dramatic collapse. No rush to the competitor. No smoking crater where revenue used to be. Which tells you something useful.
Not that the promo was always a bad idea. It probably worked well when it was fresh. That’s how these things earn a reputation in the first place. But a tactic can work brilliantly for a while and still become unnecessary later. Worse, it can turn into a margin-eating tradition the business keeps paying for because everyone is more comfortable repeating the story than testing it.
Sales happened. That doesn’t automatically mean the promotion caused them.
This is where plenty of teams kid themselves. A promotion runs. Orders come in. The phones are busier. Sales looks alive. Someone points at the graph and says, “See? Told you.”
Maybe. Or maybe those sales were coming anyway.
That distinction matters. If nobody asks what would have happened without the promo, then nobody is measuring impact properly. They are just giving credit to the loudest thing in the room.
Some promos absolutely create incremental sales. They wake up buyers who were sitting on the fence. They clear old stock. They help a brand cut through when the market is cluttered and distracted.
But plenty don’t.
Plenty just bring purchases forward. Or hand away margin on sales that were already likely. Or create a short burst of movement that feels productive enough to stop anyone asking harder questions.
That is not a clever campaign. That is the business paying for reassurance.
Why customers wait for discounts
The really annoying part is that customers are often doing exactly what you trained them to do.
Businesses love complaining about customers who wait for the deal, push on price, or hold off until someone throws in an offer. But if those behaviours keep getting rewarded, why would customers do anything else?
Run promotions constantly and people stop taking the full price seriously.
Discount the second someone hesitates and they learn that pushing back is part of the buying process.
Keep telling the market every offer is urgent and sooner or later buyers work out that your urgency is mostly theatre. It’s the same reason the “closing down sale” that somehow runs for years stops working. Once customers realise the urgency is permanent, it stops being urgent.
Customers are not being difficult for fun. They are responding to patterns. If the pattern says waiting saves money, they wait. If the pattern says price is flexible, price becomes the conversation. Then the same business turns around and complains that customers have become too price-driven.
In plenty of cases, the business trained them that way.
How repeated promotions train customer behaviour
The longer this goes on, the worse the pattern gets. A repeated discount does more than create a short-term spike. It teaches people when to buy, what your pricing strategy really means, and whether your full price is worth taking seriously.
What starts as a sales tactic can become part of the customer’s routine.
They wait for EOFY.
They wait for Black Friday.
They wait for the “VIP offer.”
They wait because history has taught them that waiting works.
That is why promotions that run on habit can slowly chip away at margin, trust, and the way customers buy from you.
Why promotions can stop working
There’s also a simpler reason old promotions get over-protected: people remember the year they flew. They remember the buzz, the uplift, the happy sales team, the feeling that something worked. What they don’t always remember is that the market has changed since then.
Competitors change. Channels change. Customer habits change.
The brand changes too.
A tactic that once did a useful job can quietly stop doing it.
That is especially true with a long-running EOFY promotion. What worked when the offer was fresh and noticeable may no longer be creating extra demand. It may just be giving existing customers a cheaper way to buy what they were already going to buy.
The only way to know is to test it.
Before you run it again, ask better questions
Did it bring in new customers, or just give existing ones a cheaper way to buy?
- Did it create extra demand, or did it drag next month’s sales into this month?
- Did customers go quiet beforehand because they knew the promo was coming?
- Did margin take the hit while the business congratulated itself on volume?
- Was the competitor threat real, or just an old story repeated until it sounded true?
Almost any discount can create a flurry. The real question is whether you needed to pay for that flurry.
Promos are not the enemy
This is not a sermon about full price purity. Promotions have their place, but they need a real job.
If a promo is there to win new buyers, shift timing, defend share, clear old stock, or react to a real market move, fine. Say that clearly. Measure it properly. Treat it like a tactic, not a lucky charm.
Then build more of the kind of marketing that creates action without constantly bribing people to move.
That might mean better quote follow-up. Better reorder reminders. Better timing around customer needs. Better sales tools so the team can hold price with confidence. Better email journeys that keep the business front of mind without shouting “sale” every five minutes. Better reporting so people can tell the difference between noise and real gain.
How to stop customers waiting for the sale
If you want to stop customers waiting for discounts, the answer is not to write a shinier promo email next time. It is to change the pattern.
That usually means looking at the whole customer journey.
- What happens after a quote goes out?
- What reminders get sent?
- What does the sales team say when someone pushes on price?
- What lands in the inbox between purchase one and purchase two?
- Where is the business rewarding delay, confusion, or discount-chasing without meaning to?
That is where the real fix sits.
Not in chasing the next spike. In building a better system.
If you want better customer retention without relying on constant discounts, the answer is usually some mix of clearer value, smarter follow-up, stronger sales tools, and better-timed communication. Sometimes that means reorder reminders. Sometimes it means automated email journeys. Sometimes it means getting sales, marketing and training to stop sounding like three different departments from three different planets.
The point is not to create more content for the sake of it. It is to build content that works harder. Content that supports the sale, the follow-up, the repeat purchase, and the long-term relationship.
That is how you stop teaching customers to wait for the discount.
What this looks like in practice
This is usually where businesses need to stop thinking in campaigns and start thinking in systems.
If customers have learned to wait for the deal, the answer is not just to write a better promo email. It is to look at the whole pattern. What is the business rewarding? What is it teaching? Where are customers being nudged to wait, haggle, or hold off because that behaviour keeps paying off?
That is the kind of pattern Spinifex helps businesses fix.
Not siloed fixes. Not “here’s a campaign, good luck.” The better work is getting clear on what behaviour actually needs to change, then building content and communication around that. Sometimes that means better follow-up. Sometimes it means email journeys that support reorders, reminders and repeat business. Sometimes it means giving sales better tools to hold value. Sometimes it means creating one clear message across sales, marketing and learning instead of three half-related ones fighting in the car park.
The point is not to make the next sales spike look prettier. It is to fix the pattern underneath it.
Sometimes the promo is still there because it is doing a proper job. Sometimes it is still there because nobody wants to find out what happens without it. Those are very different things.
The EOFY example mattered because somebody finally asked the question that had been ducked for years:
If we don’t run it, what actually changes?
That question is uncomfortable. Good. It should be.
Because the most expensive campaigns are often the ones nobody dares challenge. And if you keep teaching customers to wait for the deal, don’t act surprised when they do exactly that.
Need a little help from Spinifex
Wondering whether your promo is driving real growth or just training bad habits? Let’s take a proper look at the numbers and the customer journey.



